Blackjack Best Odds
- Finally, always remember that you want to play the blackjack games that offer you the best odds. There are many variations of blackjack at casinos that will impact your odds of winning. The ideal version of blackjack will allow doubling, doubling after splitting, splitting, and surrendering.
- ALWAYS DOUBLE DOWN ON A HARD 11. You’ll always win more money if you double down on hard.
- Blackjack Odds Explained
- Best Blackjack Odds In Reno
- Las Vegas Blackjack Best Odds
- Blackjack Best Odds Card
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Blackjack Probability and Blackjack Odds
Here are some of the reasons why blackjack has better odds: The house edge is predictable. Even if you employ the most eccentric strategy that you can think of when playing blackjack, the house edge is.
To fully understand the game of blackjack, you must understand and master blackjack odds. It's crucial to know how the casino gains its edge and how it helps them win. It's also important to understand blackjack odds such as the odds of hitting a 10 or the odds of being dealt a blackjack. You can read over these blackjack odds charts to help understand the logistics behind blackjack.
Casino and Dealer Advantage in Blackjack
In most casino games of blackjack, the house advantage (the dealer advantage) is ~ 8%. The house gets this advantage by the dealer being the last player to act. By acting last, all other players have already made their decisions and could quite possibly bust before the dealer has his turn.
By using correct blackjack basic strategy, you can turn the casino edge in blackjack from 7%-8% down to 0.5%. If you correctly use advanced card counting techniques, you can often change blackjack odds and give yourself the advantage over the casino. Manipulating the house odds to your favor is the reason most casinos don't allow card counters to play blackjack.
Probability of Busting on a Hit
It's very important to know the probability of your hand busting when you are holding any total in the game of blackjack. The following odds chart shows the blackjack odds of busting, depending on your current hand value:
| Hand Value | % Bust If You Hit |
|---|---|
| 21 | 100% |
| 20 | 92% |
| 19 | 85% |
| 18 | 77% |
| 17 | 69% |
| 16 | 62% |
| 15 | 58% |
| 14 | 56% |
| 13 | 39% |
| 12 | 31% |
| 11 or Less | 0% |
Two-Card Count Frequencies
This interesting blackjack odds chart is the two card count frequency chart. This chart shows the percentage chance that you will be dealt a hand in each given value range. The most important frequencey to note is the chance of being dealt a natural blackjack (natural 21 value. The odds of being dealt a natural blackjack are merely 4.8%. Following this chart you will see that the most common two card hand, at 38.7%, is a hand totaling 1-16, which is considered a decision hand.
| Two Card Count | % Frequency |
|---|---|
| Natural 21 | 4.8% |
| Hard Standing (17-20) | 30.0 % |
| Decision Hands (1-16) | 38.7% |
| No Bust | 26.5% |
| TOTAL | 100.0% |
Dealer Final Hand Probabilities
This blackjack odds chart shows the dealer final hand probability. These are the percentages that the dealer will end up with a hand totaling each corresponding value (up to 16). Read over this chart to understand the odds that the dealer has to make his final hand.
| Dealer Final Hand Value | % | Cumulative % Total |
|---|---|---|
| Natural 21 | 4.82% | 4.83% |
| 21 (3 or More Cards) | 7.36% | 12.19% |
| 20 | 17.58% | 29.77% |
| 19 | 13.48% | 43.25% |
| 18 | 13.81% | 57.06% |
| 17 | 14.58% | 71.64% |
| 16 | 28.36% | 100.00% |
Player Advantage vs. Dealer Up Card
The first two columns in this odds chart explain the dealer's chance of busting, depending on the up card that he is showing. You should note that the dealer has the highest chance of busting when he is showing a 5. The third column in this chart shows the player advantage of using basic strategy, compared to each up card the dealer is showing. You can see that the player has the highest advantage of 23.9%, when the dealer is showing a 5. When the dealer is showing any card that is 9 value or higher, the player is in the negative advantage range.
| Dealer Up Card | Dealer Bust % | Player Advantage % with Basic Strategy |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 35.30% | 9.8% |
| 3 | 37.56% | 13.4% |
| 4 | 40.28% | 18.0% |
| 5 | 42.89% | 23.2% |
| 6 | 42.08% | 23.9% |
| 7 | 25.99% | 14.3% |
| 8 | 23.86% | 5.4% |
| 9 | 23.34% | -4.3% |
| J,Q,K | 21.43% | -16.9% |
| A | 11.65% | -16.0% |
Effects of Removing Cards from a Deck
When looking at the odds of removing certain cards from a 52-card deck, some cards have a much greater effect on blackjack odds. To create the strongest card counting system ever invented, you would have to incorporate all of these slight and subtle differences into the numbers to be a completely accurate system.
Removing every 5 from a deck cards would make the largest impact of improving your blackjack odds, as a player. On the other hand, removing every Ace from a deck of cards would make the largest impact on improving the odds for the casino.
| Card | % Effect of Removal |
|---|---|
| 2 | 0.40% |
| 3 | 0.43% |
| 4 | 0.52% |
| 5 | 0.67% |
| 6 | 0.45% |
| 7 | 0.30% |
| 8 | 0.01% |
| 9 | -0.15% |
| 10 | -0.51% |
| A | -0.59% |
See also:
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Best Blackjack Variants
If you are a blackjack fanatic, one of the casino secrets you need to suss out early on, is what’s the best type of blackjack- which version of gives you the best odds? Or in other words, which version of blackjack has the lowest house edge and is the best to play. If you are playing online, choose a reputable casino with lots of choice of variants in a big game range so that you can pick the player friendly ones- Blackjack Pro at Wombat Casino (free demo) for example or the Hippodrome Casino come to mind as 2 sites with lots to choose from.
The rules of blackjack are set by the house of course, so you are not going to get rid of the house edge all together. But not all blackjack variants are created equal! Some are better for players than others. If you at least weight your play to these better paying variants, such as European Blackjack, you´ll increase your overall odds (as long as you play a perfect blackjack strategy). There are more than 100 types of blackjack doing the rounds, so make sure you read the smallprint and understand the rules of each particular game.
A blackjack player using a good strategy should enjoy a payout of more than 99%. Compare that to slots, which pay out at 97% or even less. The casinos can afford to do this, because many players don´t play the perfect strategy, and end up getting even worse odds than slots. Don´t be one of these players!
The following rules will have a major impact on the house edge. Look out for them, and choose accordingly.
Dealer hits soft 17
Each game has a rule on this. If the dealer must hit soft 17, “H17” is often on the table. If the dealer must stand on soft 17, “S17” is often displayed. S17 reduces the house the house edge by about 0.2%.
Number of decks
Generally speaking, the fewer the decks, the lower the house edge, the better for the player. Fewer decks increases the likelihood of a player blackjack: if you land a ten value card on your first card, the chance of drawing an ace is higher with fewer decks.
Games with fewer decks often have other rules designed to push the house edge back up. Single deck blackjack games may disallow doubling on soft hands or after splitting, may restrict resplitting, and may pay the player less than 3:2 for a winning blackjack (eg 6:5)
The house edge increases the most from one deck to 2 decks. Examples would be the following (this will vary depending on the variant and rules)
1 deck: 0.2%
2 decks; 0.45%
4 decks: 0.6%
6 decks: 0.65%
8 decks : 0.67%
Surrender
Surrender goes like this: if the dealer’s 1st card is an ace or ten value, the hole card is checked to see that there is no blackjack before surrender is offered. This is known as “late” surrender. There´s also “early” surrender, which gives you the choice of surrendering before the dealer checks. Early surrender is better for your than late surrender, but it´s a bit of a rare beasty.
Resplitting
Blackjack Odds Explained
If you split a pair, and one or both of the the new hands are also a pair, most casinos allow you to resplit. You place another bet and the dealer splits the new pair dealing a further card. Some games allow you to resplit and resplit, others have a limit.
Hit/resplit split aces
Best Blackjack Odds In Reno
If you have split aces, another rule often seen is that only one card will be dealt to each ace; you won´t be able to split, double down, or take another hit on either hand. If you can hit hands after splitting aces- all well and good, as this reduces the house edge by around 0.13%.
Double after split
Las Vegas Blackjack Best Odds
If you have split a pair, most casinos allow you to double down on both of your hands. This is good! A “Double after split” increase your odds by about 0.1%. Save the pennies and the pounds will look after themselves!
Double only allowed on 9/10/11 or 10/11
Blackjack Best Odds Card
This is often called the Reno rule: you can only double down only on an initial total of 10 or 11 (or 9, 10, or 11). So you can´t double down on soft hands such as soft 17. Avoid this rule if you can- it favours the house.
So there you have it! A few blackjack secrets for you. if you are to take one thing away from this then take away the following: try and play games with less decks (unless the casino has gone completely crazy on other dastardly ploys to move the house edge back up.